Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 3.079080 3.420222 3.789468 4.219795 4.708736 5.248382 5.890969
2025-04-13 2.448737 2.877691 3.373833 3.993484 4.751339 5.653996 6.819370
2025-04-20 2.151700 2.636446 3.225640 4.001354 5.005891 6.276733 8.028437
2025-04-27 1.969791 2.496908 3.164173 4.082026 5.329347 6.991040 9.416186
2025-05-04 1.828345 2.385342 3.115316 4.158182 5.636482 7.698331 10.866668
2025-05-11 1.702625 2.277489 3.054001 4.200986 5.889169 8.343211 12.296395
2025-05-18 1.593491 2.179436 2.992616 4.230510 6.116087 8.963734 13.757944
2025-05-25 1.456441 2.029073 2.841881 4.110924 6.100961 9.206178 14.637756
2025-06-01 1.357554 1.924799 2.747479 4.063604 6.186501 9.606697 15.820004
2025-06-08 1.275839 1.838917 2.672236 4.036468 6.296940 10.052586 17.131140
2025-06-15 1.243387 1.823903 2.701869 4.175434 6.689616 11.010419 19.494248
2025-06-22 1.176811 1.751343 2.635939 4.151643 6.801836 11.488159 21.016489
2025-06-29 1.110406 1.676137 2.562684 4.113212 6.891439 11.947313 22.598605
2025-07-06 1.014824 1.548662 2.396685 3.903603 6.655697 11.778274 22.878169
2025-07-13 0.970766 1.501514 2.358938 3.913001 6.819783 12.386340 24.888082
2025-07-20 0.943221 1.479397 2.360868 3.991885 7.120217 13.294486 27.703872
2025-07-27 0.916809 1.457249 2.360736 4.066119 7.417794 14.230949 30.746905
2025-08-03 0.886823 1.427016 2.344195 4.107818 7.654013 15.066247 33.697828
2025-08-10 0.856908 1.394987 2.322096 4.136576 7.865776 15.873144 36.725609
2025-08-17 0.807182 1.325573 2.228712 4.020098 7.763755 15.969802 37.932945
2025-08-24 0.771363 1.278766 2.173427 3.974003 7.806026 16.398407 40.103886
2025-08-31 0.740733 1.239581 2.129745 3.947569 7.887899 16.928469 42.656015
2025-09-07 0.733731 1.242612 2.164622 4.082933 8.340415 18.404060 48.230642